Sunday, September 27, 2009

SnP 500 Views!!!

The weekly chart of SnP 500 below shows, a two bar reversal signifying a lil change in short term trend! But the bigger picture is still bullish! Well for starters we are still nicely advancing in a rising channel. We have a nice support happening at 980 odd levels where the 20 and the 50 periods MA are giving a crossover. More important is the level lat 935/50 which is likely to play a key role; Old Highs turn to Supports! And last but not the least we are yet to get the most important Dow Theory Signal; Failure to make a new high and then making a new lower low! Till these conditions hold we can safely assume the trend to be bullish on weekly chart. Period.





On the daily chart what now looks like a wedge is at important triple support zone;



  1. Pattern TL support
  2. Old Resistance (see ellipse) turn to support
  3. 20 periods Moving average!



Breaking and giving a close below these, means testing times for the 50 and the 200 periods MA’s below. By the way 200 MA on the daily is approximately at the same level where we have the 20/50 periods MA crossover happening on the weekly chart.





Bottom-line? Well 950/980 looks a good support for now and 1100/1150 a good resistance for the time being!



Saturday, September 26, 2009

World Indices.... A Weekly Glance!!!

Gold Views!!!

Dollar Views!!!

Like commented last week the Dollar Index is at important support zone and any break down from here can lead to test the Lows and perhaps go on making new ones too! But we will get to that when we get there, as of now a quick glance at the weekly chart below tells us that USD Index needs to break out of this red band to breakout for a breather!





Even the daily chart with its Divergence is hinting at stretching out from here and test the 50 periods MA and the trend line resistance overhead.





Ok another angle I am putting forth is that while watching USD Index you might as well have an eye on the good old Japanese Yen! See the chart below which shows YEN vis a vis the USD. If the YEN breaks out of the Dec/Jan Highs (ellipses), that wouldn’t augur well for the dollar.



Illusion and Reality By Kabir Das!!!


Jo Dise So To Hai Nahin,

Hai So Kaha Na Jayee

Bin Dekhe Parteet Na Aave,

Kahe Na Koyee Patiyana

Samajh Hoye To Rabeen Cheenho,

Achraj Hoye Ayana Koi
Dhyave Nirakar Ko,

Koi Dhyave Aakaara

Ja Bidhi In Dono Te Nyara,

Jane Jananhara

Woh Raag To Likhia Na Jayee

Matra Lakhe Na Kana

Kahat Kabir So Padhe Na Parlay,

Surat Nirat Jin Jana


English Translation



What is seen is not the Truth

What is cannot be said

Trust comes not without seeing

Nor understanding without words

The wise comprehends with knowledge

To the ignorant it is but a wonder

Some worship the formless God

Some worship His various forms

In what way He is beyond these attributes

Only the Knower knows

That
music cannot be written

How can then be the notes

Says Kabir, awareness alone will overcome illusion


BSE Sectoral WOW ROC And RS Chart!!!

Week On Week ROC Chart;





Relative Strength Chart;







Nifty 50 WOW ROC And RS Chart!!!

Week On Week ROC Chart;





Relative Strength Chart;